THE EXPERT EVIDENCE
THE EXPERT EVIDENCE
The toy industry experts
The parties’ respective toy industry experts were Wendy Munt (Cabo) and John Harper (MGA). They produced initial reports and reply reports in 2022, followed by a joint report. After additional disclosure was provided by MGA (as explained below), both experts provided further individual expert reports and a further joint report during the course of 2024, prior to the trial. There were eventually a total of 15 toy industry reports: six reports from Ms Munt, seven from Mr Harper, and two joint reports.
The joint expert reports identified a large measure of agreement regarding the characteristics and structure of the toy industry, the costs and operational requirements of bringing a toy product to the market, and the likely shape of the profit and loss (P&L) account for a toy company. The experts’ main areas of disagreement were their assessment of the substitutability of LOL Surprise with other toys (such as Barbie), and their assessment of the likely success of Worldeez. The experts were cross-examined for a day each.
Wendy Munt, Cabo’s industry expert, has over 30 years’ experience in the toy industry, as a toy buyer for Argos and subsequently working as a consultant to toy suppliers, retailers and licensors. She fairly accepted that she was not able to give evidence as to the financial metrics relevant to the profitability of a toy supplier; rather, her previous work with toy suppliers had primarily focused on product development. Within the scope of her experience, her evidence as to the toy market dynamics and operational requirements was objective and largely uncontroversial. However, on some key issues of disagreement between the experts, while I have no doubt that Ms Munt was genuinely seeking to assist the court, her evidence came across as rather partisan, leading her to adhere to positions that were not very convincing or well-explained.
John Harper, MGA’s industry expert, has nearly 40 years’ experience in the toy industry, with executiveand management positions at Mattel and Hasbro, and subsequent advisory roles at several toy companies. By contrast with Ms Munt, therefore, his experience was on the supplier rather than the buyer side of the industry. He was an impressive and knowledgeable witness, fairly accepting the limitations of his experience (for example the fact that he had no direct experience of surprise collectible toys), but demonstrating a very detailed knowledge of the areas within his expertise. His evidence was mostly balanced and cogently explained, although he strayed into arguing MGA’s case on the market definition issue.
- Heading
- INTRODUCTION
- THE EVIDENCE OF FACT
- MGA’s witnesses of fact
- Mr Larian’s breaches of purdah
- THE EXPERT EVIDENCE
- The economic and valuation experts: preliminary comments
- Assessment of the economic and valuation evidence
- The Decision Tree Model (DTM)
- ISSUES
- FACTUAL BACKGROUND
- The UK toy industry
- Table 1: NPD dolls classifications
- MGA and LOL Surprise
- Section 14
- The founding of Cabo and development of Worldeez
- Section 16
- The initial marketing of Worldeez
- Discussions with the launch retailers
- The Entertainer
- Toys R Us
- Smyths
- Other retailers
- MGA’s intervention
- Contacts with Cabo and Singleton
- The Entertainer
- Toys R Us
- Smyths
- B&M and other retailers
- AB Gee
- Worldeez repackaging and relaunch
- Launch of Worldeez globe in B&M
- Decline in B&M sales after August 2017
- Sales to other retailers
- Licensing and international distribution
- Nickelodeon advertising
- Demise of Cabo
- PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND
- ABUSE OF DOMINANCE CLAIM
- The relevant market definition
- The parties’ submissions
- Mr Colley’s approach
- Mr Parker’s approach
- Section 44
- Conclusions on market definition
- Whether MGA was dominant on the relevant market
- The parties’ submissions
- Table 2: 2017 market shares for Colley and Parker markets (%)
- Table 3: Parker market share estimates for 2018–19 (%)
- Table 4: 2017 market shares for extended Colley market (%)
- Market shares
- Figure 1: Colley diagram of 2017 MGA and competitor market shares
- Competition from products outside the relevant market
- Barriers to entry and expansion
- Countervailing buyer power
- MGA’s conduct
- Conclusions on dominance
- Whether MGA’s conduct amounted to an abuse
- The parties’ submissions
- The overall exclusionary campaign
- MGA’s “response to commercial attack” argument
- MGA’s passing off defence
- Section 63
- Conclusion on abuse of dominance
- UNLAWFUL AGREEMENTS CLAIM
- Agreements with the toy traders
- Discussion and conclusions
- Anticompetitive object or effect
- Discussion and conclusions
- Exemption under the VBER
- Scope of the VBER
- Market share threshold
- Excluded restrictions
- Conclusion on the VBER
- Exemption under s. 9 / Article 101(3)
- Conclusion on the unlawful agreements claim
- PATENT THREATS CLAIM
- Threats of patent infringement proceedings
- The parties’ submissions
- Discussion
- “Person aggrieved”
- Conclusion on the patent threats claim
- CAUSATION AND QUANTUM
- Legal principles
- Quantification of the loss
- The approach to claims for lost profits
- Conclusions on the overarching approach
- Causative effect of MGA’s conduct
- Actionable damage and causation: Cabo’s heads of loss
- Whether Cabo would have traded profitably in the counterfactual case
- Product quality
- Section 92
- Marketing campaign
- Retailer support
- Business plan/financial projections
- Inventory management
- Working capital
- Toy expert evidence on commercial success
- Breakeven analysis
- Table 5: Volumes and working capital required to break even in 2017
- International sales
- Conclusions on whether Cabo would have traded profitably
- The parties’ quantum models
- Mr Colley’s quantum models
- Table 6: Cabo calculations of losses (£m)
- Assessment of Mr Colley’s models
- Mr Parker’s quantum models
- Table 7: MGA calculations of losses (£)
- Assessment of Mr Parker’s significant success model
- Table 8: Loss calculation for significant success model, comparing MGA and Cabo cost stacks (£)
- Assessment of Mr Parker’s moderate success model
- Figure 2: Parker moderate success model: average monthly revenue (£)
- Conclusions on the quantum models
- DECLARATORY RELIEF
- Conclusions
![HP-2020-000016 - [2025] EWHC 1451 (Ch)](https://backend.juristeca.com/files/emisores/logo_O3rEzCI.png)