UT (Tax & Chancery) UT-2022-000134 UT-2022-000135 UT-2022-000137 - [2025] UKUT 00214 (TCC)
Upper Tribunal Tax and Chancery Chamber

UT (Tax & Chancery) UT-2022-000134 UT-2022-000135 UT-2022-000137 - [2025] UKUT 00214 (TCC)

Fecha: 31-Ene-2025

Other Participant Trade Analysis

Other Participant Trade Analysis

372.

Mr Kasapis concluded that the Large Orders of 200 to 500 lots would be easily absorbed by the high immediate liquidity of contracts being traded at that time.

373.

Mr Kasapis looked at traded volumes around the time of the Specified Instances – in the five minutes before the start of the Instance (excluding any MHI trades), the traded volumes whilst the first Large Order was live (excluding any MHI trades) and then aggregating volumes and also looking at mean percentages. He concluded that on average the market was highly liquid both before and during the Specified Instances and could easily absorb the Large Orders.

374.

Mr Shivji criticised this approach, submitting it was flawed in several respects including:

(1)

Five minutes before the Instance is a very long time in a fast-moving market, and there is no evidence that market participants would have been looking at this.

(2)

Mr Kasapis had not looked at the prices at which these volumes had traded.

(3)

When calculating the liquidity whilst the first Large Order was live, Mr Kasapis had rounded to include traded volumes in the full minute in which the Large Order was placed, and the full minute in which that order was cancelled. This was unnecessary where the actual traded volumes were available, and had the effect of overstating traded volumes whilst the Large Order was live. For example, in F232, Mr Kasapis states that the traded volume in the five minutes before the Large Order is placed was 247 lots, and during T (ie the Large Order being live less the Small Order) the traded volume was 204 lots. However, the Large Order was only live for 2.51 seconds, and Mr Kasapis’s approach meant that he used the traded volume for two minutes – the result is that 194 of the 204 lots identified by Mr Kasapis were traded at a time when the Large Order was not live.

(4)

He used only the first Large Order in the Instance, yet subsequent orders were sometimes closer to the touch, and the concurrent Large Orders included not just Multiple Large Orders placed by Mr Sheth but concurrent Large Orders across the Traders. So in F31, Mr Kasapis focused only on Mr Urra’s Large Order even though Mr Lopez’s Large Order was closer to the touch.

375.

The Tribunal agrees with Mr Shivji’s criticisms of the approach taken. However, the inclusion of the five minutes before the Instances, whilst not, we accept, relevant to the views of market participants at the time (with Mr Creaturo not being persuaded that any market maker would look at liquidity in this way), was helpful to us in understanding levels of traded volumes in the market around the times of the Instances (as otherwise we only had the traded volumes during the Instance itself).

376.

An extract from Mr Kasapis’s table, with the Authority’s addition of the concurrent Large Order size in each Instance, shows the following:

Trader

Specified Instance

Cumulative contracts traded

Concurrent Large Order Size

5 mins before T

During T (rounding minutes)

During T (less Small Orders traded)

Mr Urra

F7

807

327

287

444

F12

797

258

185

475

F32

17

45

36

450

F47

566

195

186

490

F60

656

268

256

444

F150

1,581

268

178

444

F152

748

281

248

444

F194

509

500

475

444

F203

346

72

64

250

F232

247

229

204

450

Mr Lopez

F42

257

5

-

200

F43

682

225

205

200

F56

696

24

19

200

F62

1,333

299

264

200

F63

2,603

153

148

200

F74

417

116

96

200

F132

800

99

96

200

F177

416

190

100

200

F190

261

89

44

200

F215

390

84

72

200

Mr Sheth

F55

818

369

364

500

F67

1,010

577

552

500

F103

1,509

282

272

1,000

F104

159

337

331

1,000

F125

1,551

325

310

400

F153

488

118

113

1,000

F158

794

376

342

1,000

F175

695

376

366

1,000

F176

571

405

315

2,000

F201

376

267

257

600

Multi Trader

F30

310

963

949

500

F31

531

279

240

899

F64

632

339

179

960

F82

454

615

578

1,400

F84

1,236

469

214

490

F94

1,029

128

113

500

F121

2,862

564

542

1,250

F174

644

219

194

1,700

F205

423

168

138

650

F209

1,298

447

408

700

377.

The Tribunal identifies that there is a wide variation in the traded volumes across the Specified Instances, both objectively and by reference to the size of the concurrent Large Orders. We do not agree with Mr Kasapis’s conclusion that this analysis shows high immediate liquidity during all of the Specified Instances.